Mithrandir Metrics
ATH American League West Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Athletics

79.2-82.8 with P10-P90 wins 70-89. 81.3 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
79.2-82.8
Live pace
69.2
Delta
-10.0
Record 41-55 Run diff -106 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason79.0
Current pace69.2
Rolling p5073.0
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
63.7 68.1 73.0 77.8 82.2
MOVE -6.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.42
October path

Projection odds

Division12.3%
Playoffs30.4%
Pennant3.1%
World Series1.4%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.256
Rotation FIP4.58
Bullpen FIP4.42
Run diff-17.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CLangeliers, Shea5271.23
1BKurtz, Nick4476.38
2BMcNeil, Jeff481-0.55
SSWilson, Jacob4800.42
3BWalton, Donovan215-0.21
LFSoderstrom, Tyler5443.17
CFNone204-0.35
RFButler, Lawrence5722.55
DHHeim, Jonah474-0.88