Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Walton, Donovan
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
43
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.270
0.298
0.327
0.352
wOBA
0.290
0.325
0.365
0.404
0.440
ISO
0.064
0.094
0.128
0.162
0.192
K%
9.7%
13.6%
18.0%
22.4%
26.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
42
Exit velocity83.4
7
Hard-hit%35.8%
32
xBA0.342
70
xSLG0.511
50
xwOBA0.317
58
+18 vs proj
BB%5.9%
18
-25 vs proj
Bat speed65.5
8
K%16.2%
83
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 3B
16
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
Small sample
Range Runs-1.3 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · 3B
26
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 57.4% · rebadged research
15
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions64.0% · rebadged research
30
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
60
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
82
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline90
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.064 |
| Sample | 68 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 215 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.183 to 0.317 | +/- 0.067 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.033 to 0.199 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 0.5% to 5.9% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.6% | 17.9% to 41.0% | +/- 11.6% |
| K% | 19.5% | 8.8% to 30.2% | +/- 10.7% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 3.0% to 13.1% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.274 | 0.146 to 0.316 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
62 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.042 |
| K% | 2.8% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 0.5% |
vs RHP
209 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.047 |
| K% | 2.6% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |