The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bailey, Patrick in signal, the comp in amber.

CLE · bats L · 356 PA

Ranked comps for Bailey, Patrick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA 0.79 Chase rateSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +1.1zIsolated power +0.9zWhiff rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.79 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthOppo rate Max exit velocity +0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8zFly-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA 0.77 In-zone contactBat speedSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.9zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA 0.74 Walk rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sprint speed +2.0zStrikeout rate -0.8zMax exit velocity +0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA 0.73 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateOppo rate xwOBA on contact -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9zChase rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA 0.70 Chase rateBat speedGround-ball rate Sprint speed +1.7zOppo rate -1.2zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA 0.70 Walk rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.2zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA 0.69 Sprint speedHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4zSwing length -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA 0.68 Swing lengthBarrel rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactChase rate Isolated power +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateMax exit velocity xwOBA on contact -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 646 PA 0.64 Walk rateFly-ball rateBat speed Swing length +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.