The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caratini, Victor in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 396 PA

Ranked comps for Caratini, Victor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 351 PA 0.75 Isolated powerBarrel rateAvg exit velocity xwOBA on contact +0.9zChase rate +0.8zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.74 Bat speedGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA 0.73 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateSwing length Sprint speed +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 481 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateOppo rate Walk rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Sprint speed +1.8zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA 0.63 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityPull rate xwOBA on contact +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.62 Pull rateBat speedGround-ball rate Sprint speed +2.0zMax exit velocity +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Johnston, Troy COL · L · 462 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Chase rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 399 PA 0.61 Barrel rateBat speedWhiff rate Swing length +1.3zChase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 462 PA 0.60 Swing lengthChase rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 645 PA 0.59 Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.6zPull rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA 0.55 Pull rateBat speedSwing length Hard-hit rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.