The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caratini, Victor in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 280 PA

Ranked comps for Caratini, Victor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 389 PA 0.74 Bat speedOppo ratePull rate Hard-hit rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA 0.74 Barrel rateChase rateIsolated power Sprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.72 Oppo rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.8zStrikeout rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA 0.71 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zPull rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 335 PA 0.70 Bat speedStrikeout ratePull rate Walk rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 429 PA 0.69 Bat speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Max exit velocity +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.9zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.69 Pull rateIn-zone contactBat speed Sprint speed +1.8zFly-ball rate +1.0zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Johnston, Troy COL · L · 331 PA 0.69 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Chase rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.67 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.67 Bat speedSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 307 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactBarrel ratePull rate Sprint speed +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 311 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.