The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, J.P. in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 486 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, J.P.

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.76 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Walk rate -1.3zChase rate +1.0zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 466 PA 0.71 Barrel rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 407 PA 0.66 Barrel rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Walk rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 405 PA 0.66 Isolated powerSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Chase rate +2.1zGround-ball rate -0.9zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 633 PA 0.63 Isolated powerChase rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 368 PA 0.61 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateWalk rate Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.2zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 528 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactPull rate Swing length -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 641 PA 0.59 Bat speedOppo rateSwing length Fly-ball rate +2.3zGround-ball rate -1.8zChase rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactPull rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zWhiff rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 629 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate -1.8zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.