Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-25 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Richie Palacios
2B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 8", 185 lb · Age 29
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 316 | 46 | 59 | 5 | 19 | .223 | .346 | .318 | .664 |
| 2025 | 48 | 10 | 14 | 1 | 4 | .333 | .396 | .452 | .848 |
| 2026 | 390 | 51 | 79 | 10 | 17 | .234 | .330 | .374 | .704 |
| 5 Seasons | 979 | 123 | 202 | 22 | 44 | .238 | .331 | .364 | .695 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.308 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.288
0.299
0.312
0.325
0.336
wOBA
0.295
0.310
0.326
0.341
0.356
ISO
0.113
0.128
0.145
0.161
0.176
K%
13.9%
15.3%
16.7%
18.2%
19.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
23
Exit velocity85.2
21
Hard-hit%29.2%
14
xBA0.305
35
xSLG0.418
20
xwOBA0.308
55
-16 vs proj
BB%11.5%
85
Bat speed66.5
16
K%17.0%
82
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · 2B
77
Arm Strength85.5 · 2B
38
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 2B
5
Range Runs-5.0 · 2B
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · 2B
55
SB Success Rate71.4% · 2B
28
Sprint Speed26.6 · 2B
28
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.8% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
40
Correct Decisions63.2% · rebadged research
22
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
53
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.259 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.307 · validated thin sample
9
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
14
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
86
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Palacios’s wOBA sits at 0.326, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.308 — a gap of 0.018, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L | 0.71 | In-zone contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Durbin, Caleb BOS · R | 0.69 | Bat speedIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Altuve, Jose HOU · R | 0.69 | Barrel rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Heim, Jonah ATH · L | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-08-03 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 22 | 2026-09-19 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.407 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-05-20 vs BAL0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI, SB |
| 2026-04-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-17 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-15 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, SB |