Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIN Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIN

Austin Martin

Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 27

Cards
9
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club MIN Position -- Roster profile Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024257415917.253.318.352.670
20251812244111.282.374.365.739
20263534269312.232.343.319.662
3 Seasons791105172530.250.342.341.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
24
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
35
Defense4 metrics
69
Speed3 metrics
44
Plate skills10 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
xwOBA preseason0.315
xwOBA current pace0.305
xwOBA rolling p500.309
Observed weight63%
xwOBA
0.284 0.296 0.309 0.322 0.333
wOBA
0.307 0.322 0.339 0.355 0.370
ISO
0.084 0.096 0.110 0.124 0.136
K%
14.9% 16.1% 17.5% 18.8% 20.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
11
Exit velocity85.6
25
Hard-hit%28.1%
11 -24 vs proj
xBA0.299
28
xSLG0.408
15
xwOBA0.305
53
BB%12.8%
91 +41 vs proj
Bat speed65.4
8
K%18.3%
76
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.6 · RF
84
Arm Strength92.1 · RF
38
Outs Above Avg2.0 · RF
88
Range Runs1.6 · RF
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · RF
40
SB Success Rate73.3% · RF
32
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
59
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.1% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions72.8% · rebadged research
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
93
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
56
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Martin, Austin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.305 2026-09-12: 0.3132026-09-13: 0.3112026-09-14: 0.3112026-09-18: 0.3072026-09-19: 0.3072026-09-20: 0.3072026-09-21: 0.3052026-09-22: 0.3052026-09-23: 0.3052026-09-24: 0.3052026-09-25: 0.3052026-09-26: 0.305 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

170 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Martin, Austin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.5 / LA 1.02026-03-16 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 68.7 / LA 44.02026-03-22 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 51.02026-03-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 9.02026-03-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -2.02026-03-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 5.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 46.7 / LA -18.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 11.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 34.02026-03-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 14.02026-04-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -3.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.2 / LA 16.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · popup · EV 61.4 / LA 48.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 28.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · popup · EV 74.4 / LA 47.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 38.4 / LA -56.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 35.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.7 / LA -48.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.8 / LA -54.02026-04-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -8.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 17.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -1.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -3.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA 1.02026-04-08 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 70.6 / LA 38.02026-04-09 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -17.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 31.02026-04-10 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 26.02026-04-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 7.02026-04-13 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 4.02026-04-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -3.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -6.02026-04-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 32.02026-04-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -11.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 74.5 / LA 44.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 23.02026-04-17 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 4.02026-04-18 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 8.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 25.02026-04-19 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 0.02026-04-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -5.02026-04-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 3.02026-04-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 15.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 54.0 / LA -16.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.7 / LA -34.02026-04-24 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 1.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 35.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 4.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 34.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 26.02026-04-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 18.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 46.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · popup · EV 66.9 / LA 60.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 4.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 28.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 7.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.9 / LA 11.02026-05-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 8.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 27.02026-05-01 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -23.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 17.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA 12.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 0.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 66.1 / LA 17.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA -4.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 44.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 34.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -18.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 33.02026-05-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -52.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 2.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 18.02026-05-08 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 59.1 / LA 47.02026-05-08 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 10.02026-05-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 58.5 / LA 39.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 23.02026-05-10 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 5.02026-05-10 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 18.02026-05-10 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 11.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -1.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -4.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -23.02026-05-13 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 6.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA -17.02026-05-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 41.02026-05-13 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 17.02026-05-14 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 10.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 37.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -3.02026-05-14 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 26.02026-05-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 17.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 0.02026-05-15 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 51.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 67.4 / LA 34.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.7 / LA 31.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.6 / LA 53.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 43.02026-05-18 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -25.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 33.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 33.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -4.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.5 / LA -14.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA -2.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 49.9 / LA 53.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.1 / LA 76.02026-05-22 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 33.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 35.6 / LA -29.02026-05-23 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 21.02026-05-23 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA 14.02026-05-23 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA 2.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-05-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 16.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -17.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA -5.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -15.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.8 / LA -12.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 53.02026-05-25 · field error · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 32.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 0.02026-05-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 86.4 / LA 19.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -14.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 23.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.7 / LA 26.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · popup · EV 86.4 / LA 67.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -5.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -1.02026-06-01 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -25.02026-06-01 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 31.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 4.02026-06-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 48.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 53.3 / LA -50.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 43.02026-06-05 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 34.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 24.02026-06-15 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 89.6 / LA 22.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 9.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.5 / LA 57.02026-06-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -4.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.0 / LA -6.02026-06-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 0.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 77.7 / LA 26.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -33.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 7.02026-07-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -6.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 0.02026-08-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 30.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA 12.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 8.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA -30.02026-08-07 · field out · FC · popup · EV 32.0 / LA 55.02026-08-07 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 21.02026-08-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 53.02026-08-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 16.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 46.2 / LA 46.02026-08-08 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 10.02026-08-15 · field out · CH · popup · EV 63.6 / LA 58.02026-08-15 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 10.02026-08-15 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 30.02026-09-11 · field out · CH · popup · EV 77.2 / LA 70.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 20.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.8 / LA 74.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Martin, Austin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 18%18%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 28%28% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.014
wOBA Δ+0.020

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.339
xwOBA (deserved)0.305

Martin’s wOBA sits at 0.339, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.305 — a gap of 0.034, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 367 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

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Antonacci, Sam CWS · L 0.64 Oppo ratePull rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-08-10Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding62026-09-124 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.405
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.318 xwOBA | 5 HRProjection