The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 400 PA

Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 602 PA 0.71 In-zone contactGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA 0.69 Bat speedIsolated powerPull rate Avg exit velocity -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 578 PA 0.69 Barrel rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.6zPull rate +1.1zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 399 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 462 PA 0.66 Pull ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Sprint speed -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.66 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.3zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.65 Swing lengthWhiff rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 481 PA 0.64 Swing lengthIsolated powerFly-ball rate Chase rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +0.9zBat speed +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 665 PA 0.64 In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 373 PA 0.64 Walk rateFly-ball rateWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 406 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.