The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Osuna, Alejandro in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 207 PA
Ranked comps for Osuna, Alejandro
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA | 0.77 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.72 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateGround-ball rate | Walk rate -1.3zBat speed -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedChase ratexwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -1.6zBarrel rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 374 PA | 0.66 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateMax exit velocity | Whiff rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 304 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Strikeout rate +1.3zChase rate +1.3zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 261 PA | 0.61 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateSprint speedChase rate | Whiff rate +1.4zPull rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA | 0.55 | In-zone contactMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Avg exit velocity -1.4zOppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4zBat speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 331 PA | 0.52 | Walk rateGround-ball rateSprint speed | Oppo rate -2.1zPull rate +1.3zBat speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 307 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.