Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Vivas, Jorbit
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
17
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.297 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.295 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.255
0.274
0.295
0.316
0.335
wOBA
0.292
0.311
0.332
0.354
0.373
ISO
0.059
0.080
0.103
0.126
0.146
K%
13.6%
15.9%
18.5%
21.0%
23.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.7%
19
Exit velocity82.7
6
Hard-hit%25.8%
8
-23 vs proj
xBA0.287
19
xSLG0.387
9
xwOBA0.297
40
-16 vs proj
BB%9.1%
56
+25 vs proj
Bat speed67.0
20
K%13.7%
90
+44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength80.0 · 3B
9
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
77
Range Runs1.9 · 3B
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
40
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.8% · rebadged research
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.4% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions73.4% · rebadged research
95
Curveball Stuff+94
0
Mithrandir Stuff+83
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
79
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
33
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
106 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.020 |
| Sample | 219 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 241 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.189 to 0.326 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.038 to 0.204 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.4% to 5.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.0% | 17.6% to 41.8% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 22.8% | 12.9% to 31.4% | +/- 9.2% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 2.2% to 9.9% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.215 to 0.352 | +/- 0.068 |
vs LHP
12 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.074 |
| K% | 6.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
80 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 5.9% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |