Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Vivas, Jorbit
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.277 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.287 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.240
0.262
0.287
0.311
0.333
wOBA
0.289
0.314
0.341
0.369
0.393
ISO
0.048
0.073
0.101
0.129
0.154
K%
14.4%
17.2%
20.3%
23.4%
26.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
49
+19 vs proj
Barrel%2.2%
16
Bat speed67.1
22
Exit velocity82.2
5
Hard-hit%23.7%
5
-24 vs proj
K%15.6%
85
+41 vs proj
xBA0.265
10
xSLG0.347
5
xwOBA0.277
22
-31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength80.0 · 3B
12
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B
81
Range Runs0.2 · 3B
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
36
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.7% · rebadged research
61
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.6% · rebadged research
97
Correct Decisions72.6% · rebadged research
94
Mithrandir Stuff+81
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
93 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| Sample | 135 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 241 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.189 to 0.326 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.038 to 0.204 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.4% to 5.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.0% | 17.6% to 41.8% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 22.8% | 12.9% to 31.4% | +/- 9.2% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 2.2% to 9.9% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.215 to 0.352 | +/- 0.068 |
vs LHP
12 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.074 |
| K% | 6.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
80 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 5.9% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |