Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Masyn Winn

SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 24

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position SS Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024637851571511.267.314.416.730
20255377212499.253.310.363.673
2026357397747.243.314.331.645
4 Seasons16682043793029.250.306.367.673
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
34
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
40
Defense4 metrics
77
Speed4 metrics
71
Plate skills10 metrics
58
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.305
xwOBA current pace0.298
xwOBA rolling p500.301
Observed weight63%
xwOBA
0.276 0.288 0.301 0.313 0.325
wOBA
0.284 0.298 0.315 0.331 0.345
ISO
0.087 0.099 0.112 0.125 0.136
K%
17.4% 18.4% 19.6% 20.8% 21.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
14 -16 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
41
Hard-hit%35.0%
31
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.423
20
xwOBA0.298
41
BB%8.8%
52 +24 vs proj
Bat speed69.1
41
K%19.8%
67
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · SS
18
Arm Strength97.2 · SS
99
Outs Above Avg8.0 · SS
96
Range Runs6.1 · SS
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.5 · SS
80
Bolts2.0 · SS
33
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
93
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
77
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.7% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.3% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
69
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
6
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
94
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
25
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Winn, Masyn · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.298 2026-07-05: 0.3042026-07-06: 0.3032026-07-07: 0.3042026-07-08: 0.3042026-07-09: 0.3032026-07-10: 0.3012026-07-11: 0.2992026-07-12: 0.2992026-07-13: 0.2972026-07-14: 0.2982026-07-15: 0.2982026-07-16: 0.298 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

178 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Winn, Masyn · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 336 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -8.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -12.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -37.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -5.02026-03-19 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 9.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 41.02026-03-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 15.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 47.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 49.2 / LA 49.02026-03-26 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 18.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 42.02026-03-26 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 16.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -26.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · popup · EV 79.0 / LA 56.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 0.02026-03-29 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 4.02026-03-29 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 9.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 4.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 72.2 / LA 49.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 30.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 27.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA 8.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 37.02026-03-31 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 28.0 / LA -6.02026-03-31 · field out · FO · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -1.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 17.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · popup · EV 65.0 / LA 58.02026-04-01 · single · FC · popup · EV 70.7 / LA 47.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 18.02026-04-03 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 18.02026-04-03 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 72.3 / LA -19.02026-04-06 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 4.02026-04-06 · field out · CU · popup · EV 78.8 / LA 57.02026-04-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -14.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 26.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -41.02026-04-08 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 52.2 / LA -60.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · popup · EV 85.0 / LA 68.02026-04-08 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA -35.02026-04-13 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 10.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 12.02026-04-14 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 4.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.1 / LA 19.02026-04-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 77.5 / LA 54.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 41.1 / LA 28.02026-04-17 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 4.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 1.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 54.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 52.02026-04-17 · field out · SV · popup · EV 74.8 / LA 60.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -13.02026-04-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 30.02026-04-19 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 3.02026-04-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 76.3 / LA 21.02026-04-19 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -7.02026-04-20 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 10.02026-04-20 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 29.02026-04-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA 5.02026-04-21 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 1.02026-04-21 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 13.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 66.7 / LA 59.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 67.6 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · popup · EV 75.2 / LA 57.02026-04-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 70.7 / LA 20.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -1.02026-04-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 2.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -20.02026-04-25 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 42.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 31.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -11.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -30.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 64.8 / LA 29.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -1.02026-04-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -14.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 70.9 / LA 49.02026-04-28 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 25.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 17.02026-04-28 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 11.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.9 / LA 65.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 22.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -8.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 17.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.5 / LA 60.02026-05-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 14.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.6 / LA 82.02026-05-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 6.02026-05-02 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 78.4 / LA -13.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -28.02026-05-02 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -61.02026-05-02 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 22.02026-05-03 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -8.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 22.02026-05-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 19.02026-05-03 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -10.02026-05-04 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 37.02026-05-04 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 6.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -36.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 7.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -25.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -30.02026-05-07 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 29.02026-05-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 29.02026-05-07 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 33.2 / LA -59.02026-05-08 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 4.02026-05-08 · sac fly · FS · fly_ball · EV 78.5 / LA 33.02026-05-08 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA 13.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 1.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 9.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -6.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 80.7 / LA 48.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.8 / LA 76.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.2 / LA 58.02026-05-12 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 6.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 50.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 58.02026-05-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 5.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -17.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA -3.02026-05-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 14.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.7 / LA 70.02026-05-14 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 47.8 / LA -37.02026-05-14 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 19.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -35.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.2 / LA 14.02026-05-15 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 2.02026-05-16 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 30.02026-05-16 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 1.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 24.02026-05-17 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 1.02026-05-17 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -44.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 7.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 3.02026-05-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -25.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.6 / LA 50.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 59.3 / LA 17.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -1.02026-05-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball2026-05-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 17.02026-05-23 · sac fly · ST · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 13.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -30.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -25.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.0 / LA 21.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -6.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -33.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -12.02026-05-31 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA -24.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.2 / LA -22.02026-05-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 8.02026-06-01 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 26.02026-06-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -3.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 17.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.1 / LA 39.02026-06-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 12.02026-06-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -14.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 72.7 / LA 15.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 22.02026-06-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 19.02026-06-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 3.02026-06-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 4.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -36.02026-06-22 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.5 / LA -7.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 73.7 / LA 52.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -17.02026-06-24 · field out · CU · popup · EV 73.6 / LA 63.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -1.02026-06-26 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -26.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 2.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.3 / LA 19.02026-06-30 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 82.7 / LA 17.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -27.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 45.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -14.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Winn, Masyn · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 51%51%Chase: 24%24%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Winn, Masyn · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 69.9 mph Hard swing rate 7% Whiff / swing 23% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 9"
Weight185 lb
Debut2023-08-18
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.008
wOBA Δ+0.009

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.315
xwOBA (deserved)0.298

Winn’s wOBA sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.298 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 374 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Triolo, Jared PIT · R 0.76 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocity Player · Projection
Gonzales, Nick PIT · R 0.73 Isolated powerOppo rate Player · Projection
Garcia, Maikel KC · R 0.71 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Ortiz, Joey MIL · R 0.70 Oppo ratexwOBA on contact Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E2-3 | 3B, K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-5 | 2 RBI
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R
2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, R