The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Matthews, Brice in signal, the comp in amber.

HOU · bats R · 241 PA

Ranked comps for Matthews, Brice

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 297 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityIsolated powerChase rate Oppo rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 249 PA 0.67 In-zone contactHard-hit ratePull rate Fly-ball rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityBat speedxwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 259 PA 0.60 Chase ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Carter, Evan TEX · L · 278 PA 0.56 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Walk rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.55 Pull rateHard-hit rateSprint speed Strikeout rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 244 PA 0.52 Barrel rateHard-hit ratePull rate Fly-ball rate +2.1zGround-ball rate -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 275 PA 0.50 Hard-hit rateWalk rateSwing length In-zone contact +1.7zChase rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA 0.50 Isolated powerWhiff rateWalk rate Avg exit velocity +1.8zChase rate +1.7zBat speed +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactBat speedBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +2.1zPull rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.47 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBat speed Oppo rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -1.5zSprint speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.46 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityPull rate Avg exit velocity +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.