Mithrandir Metrics
Player Oklahoma City Comets Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Oklahoma City Comets

Alex Freeland

2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 25

Cards
4
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Oklahoma City Comets Position 2B Roster Current MLB team Status Out / inactive
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202597101621.190.292.310.602
2026269325444.234.327.325.652
2 Seasons366427065.222.318.321.639
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
50
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
50
Defense4 metrics
59
Speed1 metrics
35
Plate skills10 metrics
69
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.253
xwOBA current pace0.297
xwOBA rolling p500.278
Observed weight57%
xwOBA
0.240 0.258 0.278 0.299 0.317
wOBA
0.290 0.306 0.325 0.344 0.360
ISO
0.062 0.081 0.103 0.125 0.144
K%
22.7% 25.2% 27.9% 30.6% 33.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
39
Exit velocity88.0
51
Hard-hit%39.7%
57
xBA0.324
57
xSLG0.500
51
xwOBA0.297
45
BB%12.1%
88 +42 vs proj
Bat speed68.8
38
K%27.2%
27
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
32
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
51
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
80
Range Runs1.8 · 2B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.9% · rebadged research
93
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions68.9% · rebadged research
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.363 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
86
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Freeland, Alex · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.297 2026-09-13: 0.2852026-09-14: 0.2882026-09-18: 0.2962026-09-19: 0.2962026-09-20: 0.2962026-09-21: 0.2972026-09-22: 0.2972026-09-23: 0.2972026-09-24: 0.2972026-09-25: 0.2972026-09-26: 0.2972026-09-27: 0.297 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

123 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Freeland, Alex · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsOppo 12% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.5 / LA 68.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -21.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -17.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -21.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.4 / LA 31.02026-03-21 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 32.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 46.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 30.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.7 / LA -4.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -3.02026-03-24 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA -5.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 34.02026-03-27 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 19.02026-03-27 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 6.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 26.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 35.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -7.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -2.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.6 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 4.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -16.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 7.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -20.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 12.02026-04-06 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 21.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 44.02026-04-06 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 0.02026-04-07 · sac bunt · FS · ground_ball · EV 47.1 / LA -62.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 11.02026-04-07 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 22.02026-04-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -12.02026-04-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 15.02026-04-08 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -8.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.3 / LA -48.02026-04-10 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -24.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 37.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 1.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -36.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.7 / LA 62.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 5.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA -29.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 3.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -14.02026-04-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 43.7 / LA 28.02026-04-17 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 86.3 / LA 13.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 23.02026-04-17 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 50.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 32.02026-04-19 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 66.7 / LA 25.02026-04-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 10.02026-04-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 83.0 / LA 18.02026-04-23 · field out · FC · popup · EV 73.7 / LA 73.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 45.02026-04-24 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 14.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 29.02026-04-25 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 31.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -11.02026-04-27 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -38.02026-04-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 5.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.8 / LA -65.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 1.02026-04-29 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -4.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -28.02026-04-29 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 34.5 / LA -24.02026-05-02 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 37.5 / LA -26.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 46.3 / LA -50.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -28.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 27.02026-05-04 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 34.02026-05-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 4.02026-05-04 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -6.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 32.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.5 / LA -1.02026-05-06 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -22.02026-05-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 16.02026-05-06 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -22.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -3.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 27.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 32.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -12.02026-05-27 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -4.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -12.02026-05-31 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 26.02026-05-31 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 24.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 47.02026-06-04 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 27.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 16.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 30.02026-06-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 76.6 / LA 18.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.6 / LA 65.02026-06-24 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 27.02026-06-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 20.02026-06-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 2.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -16.02026-07-01 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -2.02026-09-01 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -20.02026-09-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -8.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 26.02026-09-02 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 1.02026-09-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 22.02026-09-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 40.02026-09-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA -1.02026-09-05 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -3.02026-09-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 25.02026-09-06 · field out · FC · popup · EV 87.8 / LA 86.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 90.1 / LA 80.02026-09-08 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -6.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · popup · EV 36.7 / LA 59.02026-09-09 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA -5.02026-09-09 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 17.02026-09-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 12.02026-09-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 3.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.2 / LA -34.02026-09-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -30.02026-09-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 11.02026-09-13 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 6.02026-09-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 19.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 31.02026-09-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 2.02026-09-17 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 22.02026-09-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.9 / LA 33.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Freeland, Alex · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 22%22%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 11"
Weight200 lb
Debut2025-07-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.013
wOBA Δ+0.040

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.325
xwOBA (deserved)0.297

Freeland’s wOBA sits at 0.325, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.297 — a gap of 0.028, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 290 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-03-27Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding32026-09-131 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI
2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2
2026-04-12 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-11 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K