Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-30 |
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers
Alex Freeland
2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 24
Club Los Angeles Dodgers
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 97 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | .190 | .292 | .310 | .602 |
| 2026 | 160 | 17 | 32 | 3 | 1 | .234 | .318 | .343 | .661 |
| 2 Seasons | 257 | 27 | 48 | 5 | 2 | .217 | .308 | .330 | .638 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.253 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.297 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.248
0.273
0.298
0.320
wOBA
0.299
0.321
0.345
0.369
0.391
ISO
0.059
0.084
0.112
0.139
0.164
K%
21.0%
24.1%
27.5%
30.9%
34.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
50
Exit velocity87.9
44
Hard-hit%39.4%
49
xBA0.317
42
xSLG0.503
48
xwOBA0.297
38
BB%11.3%
76
+36 vs proj
Bat speed68.1
28
K%26.0%
29
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 2B
50
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
62
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 2B
91
Range Runs2.9 · 2B
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
40
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.7% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
89 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.060 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Freeland’s wOBA sits at 0.345, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.297 — a gap of 0.048, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 177 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-27 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-11 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |