The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint

No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.

Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Yordan in signal, the comp in amber.

HOU · bats L · 433 PA

Ranked comps for Alvarez, Yordan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA 0.42 Walk rateHard-hit rateChase rate Sprint speed +2.1zGround-ball rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.4z
02 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.35 Swing lengthBat speedHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.8zSprint speed +1.7z
03 Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA 0.32 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -2.2zWhiff rate +2.1zIn-zone contact -2.1z
04 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 372 PA 0.32 Pull rateIn-zone contactSwing length Sprint speed +3.0zAvg exit velocity -1.4zWalk rate +1.4z
05 Soto, Juan NYM · L · 343 PA 0.32 Whiff rateIn-zone contactPull rate Sweet-spot rate -2.4zBat speed -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.6z
06 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA 0.30 Whiff rateWalk rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed +2.7zxwOBA on contact -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.9z
07 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.28 Chase rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.7zIsolated power -1.6z
08 Wood, James WSH · L · 481 PA 0.28 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +2.1zWhiff rate +2.0zGround-ball rate +1.8z
09 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA 0.27 Pull rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.7zMax exit velocity -2.4zxwOBA on contact -1.9z
10 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.26 Swing lengthIsolated powerChase rate Max exit velocity -2.5zGround-ball rate +1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.6z
11 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA 0.23 Bat speedOppo ratePull rate Sprint speed +2.8zxwOBA on contact -2.0zWalk rate -2.0z
12 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.23 Strikeout rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +2.3zFly-ball rate -2.2zWalk rate -2.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.