Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Benintendi, Andrew
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CWS
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.321 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.295
0.307
0.321
0.335
0.347
wOBA
0.314
0.330
0.348
0.367
0.383
ISO
0.136
0.150
0.166
0.182
0.196
K%
19.6%
20.8%
22.0%
23.3%
24.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
80
+43 vs proj
Exit velocity88.3
51
Hard-hit%49.0%
88
+64 vs proj
xBA0.354
80
xSLG0.596
75
xwOBA0.328
71
+22 vs proj
BB%8.1%
44
Bat speed67.8
26
K%24.4%
39
-38 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · LF
30
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · DH
22
Sprint Speed26.6 · DH
29
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.6% · rebadged research
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.7% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
65
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.250 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
27
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
42
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
150 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.042 |
| Sample | 307 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 498 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 15 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.306 | 0.274 to 0.355 | +/- 0.041 |
| ISO | 0.125 | 0.090 to 0.210 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 4.2% | 3.0% to 6.7% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.1% | 27.2% to 40.2% | +/- 6.5% |
| K% | 17.3% | 14.9% to 22.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 5.6% to 10.8% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.271 | 0.233 to 0.310 | +/- 0.039 |
vs LHP
1260 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.244 |
| K% | 16.7% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
3747 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.265 |
| K% | 13.4% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 4.4% |