The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 658 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.72 Pull rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA 0.69 Swing lengthFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Bat speed -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z
03 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.64 Walk rateSweet-spot rateChase rate Swing length -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
04 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.62 Bat speedSweet-spot ratePull rate Strikeout rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z
05 Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 542 PA 0.59 Oppo rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -0.8z
06 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.57 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactBarrel rate Bat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.5z
07 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 528 PA 0.57 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateChase rate Strikeout rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z
08 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.54 Pull rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zBat speed -1.3z
09 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 595 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Isolated power +1.9zSwing length -1.4zChase rate +1.3z
10 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA 0.52 In-zone contactIsolated powerWalk rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z
11 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA 0.51 In-zone contactChase rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.2z
12 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.50 Walk rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.5zBat speed -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.