The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, William in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats R · 397 PA
Ranked comps for Contreras, William
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA | 0.77 | Strikeout ratePull rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 431 PA | 0.73 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerBat speed | Swing length +1.3zWalk rate +1.2zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactSprint speedIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.5zWalk rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA | 0.72 | Pull rateHard-hit rateWalk rate | Sprint speed +1.6zBarrel rate -1.0zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 397 PA | 0.70 | In-zone contactIsolated powerSwing length | Max exit velocity -1.4zBarrel rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 353 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Chase rate -1.5zPull rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Guerrero Jr., Vladimir TOR · R · 398 PA | 0.66 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.2zBat speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 389 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.2zMax exit velocity -0.9zBat speed -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Pull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 404 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactWhiff rateGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA | 0.64 | Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zMax exit velocity -0.8zFly-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.