The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Adames, Willy in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 396 PA

Ranked comps for Adames, Willy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.74 Sprint speedHard-hit ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zBarrel rate +0.9z
02 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.72 Bat speedPull rateGround-ball rate Swing length -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z
03 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.67 Bat speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.6zWalk rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3z
04 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.66 Bat speedIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Max exit velocity +1.3zSprint speed -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.0z
05 Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 338 PA 0.65 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate Bat speed -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0z
06 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.64 Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1z
07 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.62 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.6zIsolated power -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z
08 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 273 PA 0.61 Oppo ratePull rateFly-ball rate Swing length -1.9zWalk rate +1.2zChase rate -1.1z
09 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 279 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z
10 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.57 Isolated powerFly-ball ratePull rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zSwing length -1.4zWalk rate +1.1z
11 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.57 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityOppo rate Sprint speed -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1z
12 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA 0.56 Pull rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Swing length -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.6zChase rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.