The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Edwards, Xavier in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 421 PA
Ranked comps for Edwards, Xavier
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 375 PA | 0.76 | Chase rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.2zOppo rate -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 315 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedWhiff rateChase rate | Oppo rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 284 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.57 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratePull rate | Swing length +2.1zChase rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA | 0.56 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 267 PA | 0.55 | Whiff rateSprint speedBat speed | Oppo rate -1.7zPull rate +1.3zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 415 PA | 0.54 | Isolated powerBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate +1.8zPull rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 219 PA | 0.52 | Max exit velocityGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Swing length +2.4zPull rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA | 0.51 | Strikeout rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Walk rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 400 PA | 0.51 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 400 PA | 0.51 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthIsolated power | Hard-hit rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 374 PA | 0.51 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Swing length +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.