Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago White Sox Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago White Sox

Sam Antonacci

LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 193 lb · Age 23

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago White Sox Position LF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20263044875613.287.381.418.799
1 Seasons3044875613.287.381.418.799
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
60
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
57
Defense4 metrics
25
Speed3 metrics
75
Plate skills10 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.265
xwOBA current pace0.367
xwOBA rolling p500.325
Observed weight59%
xwOBA
0.278 0.301 0.325 0.350 0.372
wOBA
0.355 0.372 0.390 0.409 0.425
ISO
0.085 0.105 0.127 0.149 0.169
K%
12.6% 15.4% 18.6% 21.8% 24.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46
Exit velocity87.2
38
Hard-hit%36.9%
41
xBA0.359
84
xSLG0.534
58
xwOBA0.367
92 +55 vs proj
BB%7.6%
38
Bat speed68.4
33
K%14.6%
87 +52 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · LF
22
Arm Strength92.5 · LF
49
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Range Runs-4.7 · LF
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.7 · LF
84
SB Success Rate86.7% · LF
69
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
73
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.8% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions70.1% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
24
Resists FastballwOBA 0.413 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
86
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Antonacci, Sam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.367 2026-07-05: 0.3702026-07-06: 0.3692026-07-07: 0.3662026-07-08: 0.3662026-07-09: 0.3682026-07-10: 0.3682026-07-11: 0.3652026-07-12: 0.3652026-07-13: 0.3652026-07-14: 0.3672026-07-15: 0.3672026-07-16: 0.367 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

143 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Antonacci, Sam · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 78% of plotted batted ballsCenter 78%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -9.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -1.02026-03-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA 2.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -9.02026-03-20 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · double · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -14.02026-04-15 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 73.4 / LA 36.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 9.02026-04-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA -5.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 2.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 13.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -8.02026-04-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -12.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 54.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 52.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 0.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-04-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 49.5 / LA 56.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 32.02026-04-19 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 17.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA -2.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -19.02026-04-21 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 9.02026-04-21 · triple · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 31.02026-04-21 · home run · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 1.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 7.02026-04-22 · field out · FC · popup · EV 58.4 / LA 69.02026-04-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -22.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 20.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA -18.02026-04-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 19.02026-04-24 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 39.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 48.02026-04-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 74.9 / LA 21.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 1.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -5.02026-04-27 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA 12.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 36.02026-04-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 0.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -16.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · popup · EV 68.9 / LA 71.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 58.8 / LA -39.02026-04-29 · triple · ST · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 5.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 27.02026-05-01 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 31.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 26.02026-05-02 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 7.02026-05-02 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 108.4 / LA 17.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 34.02026-05-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 22.02026-05-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 11.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 4.02026-05-05 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -12.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 33.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.0 / LA 13.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 56.02026-05-06 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -11.02026-05-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 18.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -24.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 26.02026-05-08 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 88.0 / LA 16.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 20.02026-05-09 · sac bunt · FC · ground_ball · EV 33.0 / LA -29.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -45.02026-05-10 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 37.5 / LA -64.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 4.02026-05-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 19.02026-05-12 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 9.02026-05-12 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 13.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 74.0 / LA 14.02026-05-13 · field error · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA -13.02026-05-13 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 23.02026-05-14 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 20.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 3.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 4.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA -43.02026-05-16 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -2.02026-05-16 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 10.02026-05-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.7 / LA 14.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -13.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 15.02026-05-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 13.02026-05-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.5 / LA 20.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -15.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 6.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -8.02026-05-19 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 31.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -6.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 5.02026-05-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -10.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 56.6 / LA -4.02026-05-23 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 7.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA 2.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 11.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 31.02026-05-25 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.2 / LA -29.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.6 / LA -8.02026-05-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 76.6 / LA 35.02026-05-26 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -5.02026-05-27 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -4.02026-05-27 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 18.02026-05-27 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.3 / LA 15.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -21.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 72.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 2.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · popup · EV 82.1 / LA 61.02026-06-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 11.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -13.02026-06-01 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 26.02026-06-01 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 15.02026-06-01 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 3.02026-06-05 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -24.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -32.02026-06-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.0 / LA -4.02026-06-07 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA -4.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 16.02026-06-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -6.02026-06-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 16.02026-06-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 28.02026-06-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 14.02026-06-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 9.02026-06-22 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 4.02026-06-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -11.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 51.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 5.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 74.9 / LA 61.02026-06-26 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -17.02026-06-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 14.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 19.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.3 / LA 16.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -19.02026-07-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 24.02026-07-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 36.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Antonacci, Sam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 13%13%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 87%87%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height5' 11"
Weight193 lb
Debut2026-04-15
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.072
wOBA Δ+0.095

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.8σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.390
xwOBA (deserved)0.367

Antonacci’s wOBA sits at 0.390, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.367 — a gap of 0.023, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 315 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
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Garcia, Maikel KC · R 0.71 Whiff rateOppo rate Player · Projection
Young, Jacob WSH · R 0.70 Pull rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Cortes, Carlos ATH · L 0.66 Oppo rateBat speed Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-08Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.295 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-4 | K, R, SB
2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, HBP, CS
2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, R