Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.227 vs 0.194 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Myers, Dane
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CIN
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
48
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.297
0.312
0.327
0.340
wOBA
0.328
0.344
0.361
0.378
0.394
ISO
0.105
0.120
0.137
0.154
0.169
K%
21.5%
22.7%
24.1%
25.5%
26.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
21
-47 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
45
Hard-hit%38.0%
49
-26 vs proj
xBA0.331
66
xSLG0.498
50
xwOBA0.309
57
BB%11.1%
81
+51 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
35
K%24.4%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.3 · CF
20
Arm Strength103.0 · CF
99
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs0.6 · CF
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.2 · CF
88
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed28.0 · CF
65
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.9% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
28
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.262 · insufficient sample
90
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.392 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
157 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.056 |
| Sample | 352 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 392 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.258 to 0.366 | +/- 0.054 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.063 to 0.215 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 2.6% to 7.7% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.4% | 35.1% to 50.6% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.6% to 29.7% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.5% to 9.6% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.242 to 0.351 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
218 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 15.5% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
337 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.194 |
| K% | 18.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |