The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carpenter, Kerry in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 255 PA

Ranked comps for Carpenter, Kerry

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 440 PA 0.77 Isolated powerOppo ratexwOBA on contact Hard-hit rate -1.2zSwing length -1.0zWalk rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.76 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactSprint speed Oppo rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.70 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateOppo rate Barrel rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.0zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.69 Bat speedSwing lengthHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA 0.64 Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactBat speedPull rate Strikeout rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 203 PA 0.61 Oppo rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Hard-hit rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.61 Walk rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Bat speed +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.61 In-zone contactWhiff rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -2.6zWalk rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.60 Barrel rateChase rateOppo rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.59 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Chase rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.