The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 524 PA

Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 625 PA 0.71 Max exit velocityWalk rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.7z
02 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 521 PA 0.70 Ground-ball ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Isolated power +1.3zBat speed -1.1zOppo rate -0.9z
03 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.9z
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA 0.65 Whiff rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Chase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z
05 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactPull rateOppo rate Swing length +1.6zBat speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.0z
06 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA 0.62 Sprint speedBarrel rateBat speed Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.1z
07 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.61 Barrel rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zSwing length +1.3z
08 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 481 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityPull rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1z
09 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 619 PA 0.60 Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power Ground-ball rate +1.8zSwing length +1.5zOppo rate -1.2z
10 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA 0.59 Walk rateChase rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.1z
11 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA 0.58 Bat speedStrikeout rateChase rate Swing length +1.5zPull rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
12 Carter, Evan TEX · L · 461 PA 0.58 Barrel rateChase ratexwOBA on contact In-zone contact -1.8zWhiff rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.