The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.
KC · bats L · 524 PA
Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 625 PA | 0.71 | Max exit velocityWalk rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 521 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power +1.3zBat speed -1.1zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateOppo rate | Chase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactPull rateOppo rate | Swing length +1.6zBat speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA | 0.62 | Sprint speedBarrel rateBat speed | Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 481 PA | 0.61 | Avg exit velocityPull rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 619 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedWalk rateIsolated power | Ground-ball rate +1.8zSwing length +1.5zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA | 0.58 | Bat speedStrikeout rateChase rate | Swing length +1.5zPull rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Carter, Evan TEX · L · 461 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateChase ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -1.8zWhiff rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.