The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 339 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 294 PA 0.76 Chase rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.2zSwing length +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Church, Nathan STL · L · 270 PA 0.74 Swing lengthPull rateIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.0zBat speed -1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.72 In-zone contactHard-hit rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate +1.0zChase rate -0.9zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.72 Sprint speedWalk rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 390 PA 0.72 Pull rateSprint speedWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 304 PA 0.70 Sprint speedOppo rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity -1.3zChase rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 217 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactWalk rate Pull rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 304 PA 0.69 Swing lengthPull rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.8zBat speed -1.1zWhiff rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 436 PA 0.69 Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateBat speed Swing length +1.4zIsolated power -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 423 PA 0.68 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactBat speed Strikeout rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 261 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate Swing length +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 222 PA 0.63 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.6zSwing length -1.5zxwOBA on contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.