Mithrandir Metrics
TEX American League West Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Texas Rangers

83.1-78.9 with P10-P90 wins 73-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.1-78.9
Live pace
82.7
Delta
-0.4
Record 49-47 Run diff -15 Generated 2026-07-17T11:44:53.145921+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace82.7
Rolling p5082.8
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
72.7 77.5 82.8 88.1 92.9
MOVE -0.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.38
October path

Projection odds

Division22.3%
Playoffs46.4%
Pennant6.6%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.21
Bullpen FIP4.38
Run diff20.2
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHigashioka, Kyle400-0.60
1BBurger, Jake4601.85
2BLopez, Nicky260-0.61
SSDuran, Ezequiel350-1.15
3BJung, Josh4840.30
LFLangford, Wyatt5564.96
CFCarter, Evan3360.53
RFNimmo, Brandon6154.50
DHPederson, Joc4083.63