Mithrandir Metrics
TEX American League West Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League West

Texas Rangers

83.1-78.9 with P10-P90 wins 73-93. 81.0 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.1-78.9
Live pace
80.0
Delta
-3.1
Record 79-81 Run diff -48 Generated 2026-09-26T11:49:00.008592+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace80.0
Rolling p5080.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
72.0 76.2 80.8 85.5 89.6
MOVE -2.2 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.38
October path

Projection odds

Division22.3%
Playoffs46.4%
Pennant6.6%
World Series2.9%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.265
Rotation FIP4.21
Bullpen FIP4.38
Run diff20.2
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-26; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-25.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CJansen, Danny406-0.94
1BBurger, Jake4601.85
2BLopez, Nicky260-0.61
SSSeager, Corey4848.47
3BDuran, Ezequiel350-1.15
LFLangford, Wyatt5564.96
CFCarter, Evan3360.53
RFNimmo, Brandon6154.50
DHJung, Josh4840.30
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Pederson, JocHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Higashioka, KyleHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Leiter, JackPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Quantrill, CalPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Beeks, JalenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Winn, ColePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Otañez, MichelPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Corniell, JosePitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
O'Hoppe, LoganHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Cauley, CamHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Ahlstrom, RobbyPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Peoples, BenPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors