Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.83 |
| ERA current pace | 3.33 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.56 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 55.2% | 275 | 101 | qualified |
| SL | 27.5% | 137 | 107 | limited sample |
| SI | 17.3% | 86 | 101 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.44 |
| K% Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 64.3 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 59.7 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 267 | -- | -- |
| K% | 26.2% | 20.4% to 33.9% | +/- 6.8% |
| BB% | 9.7% | 6.9% to 13.2% | +/- 3.1% |
| Whiff% | 25.0% | 20.7% to 32.8% | +/- 6.1% |
| HR/9 | 1.47 | 0.49 to 2.01 | +/- 0.76 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.301 | 0.240 to 0.323 | +/- 0.042 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 9.0% | 3.6% to 12.6% | +/- 4.5% |
| ERA | 3.77 | 1.62 to 5.21 | +/- 1.79 |
| FIP | 4.01 | 2.51 to 6.29 | +/- 1.89 |
| WHIP | 1.309 | 1.009 to 1.553 | +/- 0.272 |
| xwOBA | 0.276 |
| K% | 23.5% |
| BB% | 11.4% |
| Barrel | 10.0% |
| xwOBA | 0.246 |
| K% | 26.0% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 8.9% |
