Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / TEX · 2026

Bradford, Cody

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
19.6% K%
Range
15.1% to 25.3%
Live Δ
yes
Team TEX Archetype Balanced starter Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
37
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
28
Arsenal5 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
ERA preseason4.06
ERA current pace4.19
ERA rolling p504.11
Observed weight44%
ERA
3.02 3.54 4.11 4.69 5.21
FIP
3.46 3.78 4.14 4.50 4.82
K%
12.9% 14.4% 16.1% 17.7% 19.2%
BB%
3.7% 4.5% 5.4% 6.3% 7.1%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.46
27
ERA4.19
47
BB%5.3%
94
K%11.2%
1 -32 vs proj
xwOBA allowed0.344
18 -41 vs proj
Barrel allowed9.7%
16
Fastball velo88.5
2
Hard-hit allowed39.0%
46
Whiff%15.2%
3 -38 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-27
Fastball Stuff+106
79
Mithrandir Stuff+106
86
Changeup Stuff+112
98
Curveball Stuff+100
15
Slider Stuff+100
37
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 52%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Bradford, Cody · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.344 2026-09-13: 0.3562026-09-14: 0.3562026-09-18: 0.3452026-09-19: 0.3452026-09-20: 0.3452026-09-21: 0.3452026-09-22: 0.3452026-09-23: 0.3452026-09-24: 0.3442026-09-25: 0.3442026-09-26: 0.3442026-09-27: 0.344 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Bradford, Cody · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 53%53%Whiff: 15%15%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 55%55%Hard hit allowed: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradford, Cody · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 51.6%Changeup: 30.6%Slider: 11.1%Curveball: 4.6%Sinker: 2.2% FF52% · 89 mphprimary pitch FF 52%CH 31%SL 11%CU 5%SI 2% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Bradford, Cody · 2026 arsenal snapshot 15″30″45″60″ 4-Seam Fastball: 52% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 88.6 mphFF89 mphChangeup: 31% usage, 8″ horizontal break, 33″ drop, 81.0 mphCH81 mphSlider: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 41″ drop, 80.7 mphSL81 mphCurveball: 5% usage, 7″ horizontal break, 54″ drop, 74.4 mphCU74 mphSinker: 2% usage, 6″ horizontal break, 21″ drop, 88.1 mphSI88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 51.7% 308 106 qualified
CH 31.7% 189 112 limited sample
SL 10.1% 60 100 limited sample
CB 5.4% 32 100 limited sample
SI 1.2% 7 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park slightly inflates the home-run risk band.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.28
K% Δ-0.084
Sample42.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings70.1----
Batters Faced296----
K%19.6%15.1% to 25.3%+/- 5.1%
BB%5.4%3.1% to 8.2%+/- 2.5%
Whiff%21.4%16.0% to 24.4%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.670.96 to 2.19+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3060.253 to 0.341+/- 0.044
Barrel% Allowed9.1%5.9% to 13.1%+/- 3.6%
ERA4.462.51 to 5.58+/- 1.53
FIP4.182.90 to 4.81+/- 0.96
WHIP1.2410.867 to 1.485+/- 0.309
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

174 career BF

xwOBA0.234
K%17.6%
BB%4.0%
Barrel8.4%
vs RHH

449 career BF

xwOBA0.247
K%17.5%
BB%4.2%
Barrel10.3%