Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
O'Hoppe, Logan
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TEX
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
33
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.267 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.283 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.271
0.283
0.296
0.307
wOBA
0.240
0.256
0.273
0.291
0.307
ISO
0.093
0.106
0.119
0.133
0.146
K%
22.7%
24.1%
25.7%
27.2%
28.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
66
Exit velocity86.4
34
Hard-hit%35.2%
35
-47 vs proj
xBA0.283
15
xSLG0.455
33
xwOBA0.267
17
-34 vs proj
BB%6.9%
32
Bat speed68.9
40
K%24.5%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-2.5 · C
1
Catcher Throwing-1.0 · C
27
Framing Runs-10.7 · C
1
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
44
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions62.0% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.030 |
| Sample | 290 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 491 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 20 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.286 to 0.353 | +/- 0.034 |
| ISO | 0.162 | 0.114 to 0.222 | +/- 0.054 |
| Barrel% | 7.0% | 4.6% to 9.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.6% | 40.1% to 53.6% | +/- 6.8% |
| K% | 26.7% | 22.4% to 33.3% | +/- 5.5% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.1% to 9.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.224 to 0.318 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
263 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.274 |
| K% | 21.9% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
vs RHP
994 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.252 |
| K% | 24.1% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |