Mithrandir Metrics
STL National League Central Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals

70.2-91.8 with P10-P90 wins 61-80. 81.6 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
70.2-91.8
Live pace
85.3
Delta
+15.1
Record 50-45 Run diff 6 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason70.0
Current pace85.3
Rolling p5079.4
Observed weight61%
Rolling wins
69.2 74.0 79.4 84.7 89.5
MOVE +9.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.46
October path

Projection odds

Division1.2%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.252
Rotation FIP4.60
Bullpen FIP4.46
Run diff-100.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPagés, Pedro424-1.11
1BBurleson, Alec5464.05
SSWinn, Masyn543-0.52
3BNone200-0.30
LFNootbaar, Lars5435.01
RFWalker, Jordan429-0.85
DHHerrera, Iván4624.88