Mithrandir Metrics
STL National League Central Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

St. Louis Cardinals

70.2-91.8 with P10-P90 wins 61-80. 81.6 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
70.2-91.8
Live pace
78.0
Delta
+7.8
Record 77-83 Run diff -26 Generated 2026-09-26T11:49:00.008592+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason70.0
Current pace78.0
Rolling p5075.8
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
67.1 71.2 75.8 80.4 84.5
MOVE +5.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.46
October path

Projection odds

Division1.2%
Playoffs2.8%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.252
Rotation FIP4.60
Bullpen FIP4.46
Run diff-100.5
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-26; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-25.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CPagés, Pedro424-1.11
1BBernal, Leo202-0.24
2BWetherholt, Jj----
SSWinn, Masyn543-0.52
3BSaggese, Thomas356-0.61
LFFermín, José255-0.09
CFScott II, Victor456-0.95
RFWalker, Jordan429-0.85
DHHerrera, Iván4624.88
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Pereira, EversonHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Báez, JoshuaHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Jordan, BlazeHitterIL-10Injured 10-Day
Dobbins, HunterPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Rajcic, MaxPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Crooks, JimmyHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Fitts, RichardPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Fernandez, RyanPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Svanson, MattPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors