Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / STL · 2026
Scott II, Victor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team STL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
14
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.286 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.273 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.280 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.265
0.280
0.295
0.308
wOBA
0.265
0.285
0.307
0.329
0.349
ISO
0.072
0.088
0.105
0.123
0.139
K%
20.5%
21.9%
23.4%
24.9%
26.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.5%
3
-20 vs proj
Exit velocity79.0
1
Hard-hit%25.4%
8
xBA0.310
37
xSLG0.412
16
xwOBA0.273
18
BB%8.5%
49
Bat speed62.2
2
K%23.5%
43
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · CF
35
Arm Strength91.3 · CF
33
Outs Above Avg3.0 · CF
93
Range Runs2.7 · CF
81
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.2 · CF
75
Bolts29.0 · CF
89
SB Success Rate72.7% · CF
29
Sprint Speed29.7 · CF
98
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.3% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.261 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
73
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
71
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
| Sample | 200 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 456 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.255 to 0.333 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.109 | 0.083 to 0.206 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 1.8% to 6.0% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.9% | 22.8% to 39.6% | +/- 8.4% |
| K% | 21.8% | 20.1% to 28.9% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 4.9% to 11.6% | +/- 3.4% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.242 to 0.323 | +/- 0.040 |
vs LHP
185 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 5.6% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |
vs RHP
471 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.209 |
| K% | 16.4% |
| BB% | 6.6% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |