Soriano, George
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.93 |
| ERA current pace | 3.32 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.75 |
| Observed weight | 30% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 35.7% | 125 | 96 | limited sample |
| FB | 26.6% | 93 | 104 | limited sample |
| CH | 25.4% | 89 | 106 | limited sample |
| SI | 12.3% | 43 | 107 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
| ERA Δ | -0.65 |
| K% Δ | -0.025 |
| Sample | 25.3 IP |
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 36.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 167 | -- | -- |
| K% | 23.6% | 16.3% to 31.9% | +/- 7.8% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 5.0% to 13.4% | +/- 4.2% |
| Whiff% | 25.7% | 19.3% to 32.1% | +/- 6.4% |
| HR/9 | 1.30 | 0.33 to 2.65 | +/- 1.16 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.311 | 0.278 to 0.369 | +/- 0.045 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.9% | 4.5% to 15.5% | +/- 5.5% |
| ERA | 3.97 | 2.32 to 7.71 | +/- 2.69 |
| FIP | 3.94 | 2.69 to 6.97 | +/- 2.14 |
| WHIP | 1.304 | 1.023 to 1.777 | +/- 0.377 |
256 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.351 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 8.8% |
| Barrel | 13.0% |
312 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.313 |
| K% | 20.5% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 9.6% |