Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / STL · 2026
Prieto, César
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team STL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.227 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.251 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.228 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
xwOBA
0.136
0.180
0.228
0.277
0.321
wOBA
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
0.000
ISO
0.000
0.017
0.066
0.115
0.159
K%
10.4%
15.1%
20.4%
25.7%
30.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B · small sample regression applied
62
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.4 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.4 · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.5% · rebadged research
11
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.3% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
15
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
51
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264 · validated thin sample
83
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
77
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 208 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.241 | 0.075 to 0.273 | +/- 0.099 |
| ISO | 0.109 | 0.014 to 0.214 | +/- 0.100 |
| Barrel% | 2.1% | 0.2% to 4.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.3% | 7.2% to 39.6% | +/- 16.2% |
| K% | 22.8% | 9.1% to 30.7% | +/- 10.8% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 0.6% to 9.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.140 to 0.368 | +/- 0.114 |
vs LHP
10 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 3.0% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
20 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.8% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |