Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 26 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / STL · 2026

Pallante, Andre

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.2% K%
Range
13.7% to 24.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team STL Archetype Volatile contact Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
52
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
57
Arsenal5 metrics
40
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26
ERA preseason4.25
ERA current pace3.69
ERA rolling p503.84
Observed weight73%
ERA
2.43 3.10 3.84 4.58 5.25
FIP
2.95 3.37 3.84 4.30 4.72
K%
15.1% 16.0% 17.0% 18.0% 18.9%
BB%
6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.3% 8.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.26
61
ERA3.69
62
BB%7.5%
71 +17 vs proj
K%16.2%
12
xwOBA allowed0.309
54 +21 vs proj
Barrel allowed4.7%
89 +24 vs proj
Fastball velo95.3
65
Hard-hit allowed34.4%
80
Whiff%19.4%
23 -20 vs proj
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-09-26
Curveball Stuff+101
35
Fastball Stuff+103
58
Mithrandir Stuff+101
43
Sinker Stuff+94
10
Slider Stuff+102
56
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 34%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Pallante, Andre · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 0.309 2026-09-12: 0.3062026-09-13: 0.3062026-09-14: 0.3062026-09-18: 0.3092026-09-19: 0.3092026-09-20: 0.3092026-09-21: 0.3092026-09-22: 0.3092026-09-23: 0.3092026-09-24: 0.3092026-09-25: 0.3092026-09-26: 0.309 2026-09-12 2026-09-26 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pallante, Andre · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 37%37%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 19%19%Called strike: 17%17%First pitch strike: 51%51%Hard hit allowed: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 33.9%Slider: 29.0%Knuckle Curve: 17.3%Sinker: 16.9%Split-Finger: 2.9% FF34% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 34%SL 29%KC 17%SI 17%FS 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 34% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 95.2 mphFF95 mphSlider: 29% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 34″ drop, 87.8 mphSL88 mphKnuckle Curve: 17% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 61″ drop, 78.6 mphKC79 mphSinker: 17% usage, 10″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.4 mphSI95 mphSplit-Finger: 3% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 30″ drop, 88.8 mphFS89 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 36.6% 544 103 qualified
SL 28.4% 422 102 qualified
CB 18.1% 269 101 qualified
SI 16.7% 249 94 qualified
CH 0.2% 3 103 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Slider 28%, Knuckle Curve 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-1.03
K% Δ-0.020
Sample154.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings142.1----
Batters Faced629----
K%18.2%13.7% to 24.1%+/- 5.2%
BB%8.5%6.3% to 10.9%+/- 2.3%
Whiff%21.6%18.2% to 26.6%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.210.55 to 1.79+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3260.273 to 0.347+/- 0.037
Barrel% Allowed6.6%3.7% to 8.8%+/- 2.6%
ERA4.722.68 to 6.29+/- 1.81
FIP4.443.05 to 5.31+/- 1.13
WHIP1.4121.115 to 1.683+/- 0.284
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

980 career BF

xwOBA0.292
K%15.9%
BB%8.9%
Barrel4.8%
vs RHH

1077 career BF

xwOBA0.284
K%16.4%
BB%8.0%
Barrel5.2%