Mithrandir Metrics
Pitcher projection 2026 Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Pitcher projection / STL · 2026

Pallante, Andre

Run-prevention profile built on workable command

Primary
18.2% K%
Range
13.7% to 24.1%
Live Δ
yes
Team STL Archetype Volatile contact Age 28 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
48
Pitching
percentile
Pitching9 metrics
52
Arsenal5 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
ERA preseason4.25
ERA current pace3.88
ERA rolling p504.04
Observed weight55%
ERA
2.76 3.37 4.04 4.72 5.33
FIP
3.48 3.86 4.28 4.70 5.09
K%
16.2% 17.5% 19.0% 20.5% 21.8%
BB%
6.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.2% 10.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.27
54
ERA3.88
51
BB%8.4%
54
K%18.8%
24
xwOBA allowed0.306
58 +19 vs proj
Barrel allowed6.7%
64
Fastball velo95.1
63
Hard-hit allowed36.4%
67
Whiff%20.5%
30
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.

2026-06-14
Fastball Stuff+104
66
Mithrandir Stuff+102
50
Slider Stuff+104
62
Curveball Stuff+102
42
Sinker Stuff+95
13
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

5Pitches 2026Season 30%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA allowed Pallante, Andre · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.314 0.306 2026-06-03: 0.3112026-06-04: 0.3112026-06-05: 0.3092026-06-06: 0.3092026-06-07: 0.3092026-06-08: 0.3092026-06-09: 0.3092026-06-10: 0.3092026-06-11: 0.3092026-06-12: 0.3062026-06-13: 0.3062026-06-14: 0.306 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA allowed MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Pitch Zone Profile Pallante, Andre · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Edge: 38%38%Zone: 49%49%Whiff: 20%20%Called strike: 19%19%First pitch strike: 57%57%Hard hit allowed: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 4-Seam Fastball: 30.3%Slider: 29.2%Sinker: 19.0%Knuckle Curve: 18.3%Split-Finger: 3.2% FF30% · 95 mphprimary pitch FF 30%SL 29%SI 19%KC 18%FS 3% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Pallante, Andre · 2026 arsenal snapshot 18″36″54″72″ 4-Seam Fastball: 30% usage, 1″ horizontal break, 18″ drop, 95.0 mphFF95 mphSlider: 29% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 35″ drop, 87.5 mphSL88 mphSinker: 19% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 16″ drop, 95.2 mphSI95 mphKnuckle Curve: 18% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 62″ drop, 77.8 mphKC78 mphSplit-Finger: 3% usage, 9″ horizontal break, 29″ drop, 87.6 mphFS88 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
FB 31.8% 282 104 qualified
SL 28.6% 254 104 qualified
CB 19.6% 174 102 limited sample
SI 19.6% 174 95 limited sample
CH 0.3% 3 104 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park gives the run-prevention profile a small HR cushion.
pitcher
2
templated note
Primary mix entering the season: 4-Seam Fastball 44%, Slider 28%, Knuckle Curve 14%.
pitcher
Live context

Current-season signal

ERA Δ-0.84
K% Δ+0.006
Sample69.3 IP

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Innings143.0----
Batters Faced633----
K%18.2%13.7% to 24.1%+/- 5.2%
BB%8.5%6.3% to 10.9%+/- 2.3%
Whiff%21.6%18.2% to 26.6%+/- 4.2%
HR/91.210.55 to 1.79+/- 0.62
xwOBA Against0.3260.273 to 0.347+/- 0.037
Barrel% Allowed6.6%3.7% to 8.8%+/- 2.6%
ERA4.722.68 to 6.29+/- 1.81
FIP4.443.05 to 5.31+/- 1.13
WHIP1.4121.115 to 1.683+/- 0.284
Platoon / Shape
vs LHH

980 career BF

xwOBA0.292
K%15.9%
BB%8.9%
Barrel4.8%
vs RHH

1077 career BF

xwOBA0.284
K%16.4%
BB%8.0%
Barrel5.2%