Mithrandir Metrics
CIN National League Central Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League Central

Cincinnati Reds

78.5-83.5 with P10-P90 wins 69-88. 80.8 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
78.5-83.5
Live pace
83.8
Delta
+5.3
Record 30-28 Run diff -32 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason78.0
Current pace83.8
Rolling p5080.8
Observed weight49%
Rolling wins
70.1 75.2 80.8 86.5 91.6
MOVE +2.8 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.38
October path

Projection odds

Division12.5%
Playoffs24.0%
Pennant2.0%
World Series0.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.258
Rotation FIP4.29
Bullpen FIP4.38
Run diff-29.3
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CStephenson, Tyler4290.14
1BStewart, Sal2331.04
2BMcLain, Matt5030.41
SSDe La Cruz, Elly6365.13
LFSteer, Spencer5581.20
CFFriedl, Tj592-0.78
RFBenson, Will3691.36
DHSuárez, Eugenio6333.83