Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Trevino, Jose
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CIN
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 34
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
39
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.207 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 18% |
xwOBA
0.234
0.255
0.278
0.301
0.322
wOBA
0.299
0.342
0.390
0.438
0.481
ISO
0.088
0.119
0.155
0.190
0.222
K%
10.8%
13.1%
15.7%
18.2%
20.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.0 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.6 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs2.2 · C
Small sample
Pop Time2.0 · C
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.6 · C
1
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.5% · rebadged research
10
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
52
Correct Decisions61.5% · rebadged research
13
Mithrandir Stuff+49
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
56
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
47
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
38 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 384 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.273 | 0.228 to 0.329 | +/- 0.051 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.050 to 0.211 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 2.1% to 7.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.4% | 30.7% to 47.0% | +/- 8.2% |
| K% | 15.5% | 12.5% to 24.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 4.4% to 9.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.256 | 0.212 to 0.306 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
510 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 9.3% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
vs RHP
1187 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 11.1% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |