Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Trevino, Jose
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team CIN
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 34
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
11
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.222 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.262 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.229
0.245
0.262
0.280
0.296
wOBA
0.251
0.272
0.295
0.319
0.340
ISO
0.102
0.125
0.150
0.175
0.198
K%
13.2%
14.9%
16.8%
18.8%
20.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.3%
16
Exit velocity84.5
16
Hard-hit%30.4%
18
xBA0.264
9
xSLG0.365
6
xwOBA0.222
4
-18 vs proj
BB%1.2%
1
-22 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
17
K%18.1%
76
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.3 · C
89
Catcher Throwing0.7 · C
67
Framing Runs1.4 · C
68
Pop Time2.0 · C
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed23.4 · C
0
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.6% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 35.1% · rebadged research
4
Correct Decisions60.2% · rebadged research
8
Mithrandir Stuff+62
2
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.258 · borderline
95
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
75
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.051 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| Sample | 171 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 384 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.273 | 0.228 to 0.329 | +/- 0.051 |
| ISO | 0.117 | 0.050 to 0.211 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 2.1% to 7.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.4% | 30.7% to 47.0% | +/- 8.2% |
| K% | 15.5% | 12.5% to 24.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 4.4% to 9.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.256 | 0.212 to 0.306 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
510 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 9.3% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
vs RHP
1187 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.198 |
| K% | 11.1% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |