Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.85 |
| ERA current pace | 3.88 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.86 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 47.9% | 515 | 102 | qualified |
| SL | 20.6% | 221 | 110 | qualified |
| CH | 17.8% | 191 | 94 | limited sample |
| CB | 13.6% | 146 | 102 | limited sample |
| FC | 0.2% | 2 | 97 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.19 |
| K% Δ | -0.046 |
| Sample | 68.0 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 144.0 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 607 | -- | -- |
| K% | 20.8% | 18.4% to 27.0% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 7.2% | 5.6% to 9.7% | +/- 2.0% |
| Whiff% | 21.9% | 18.6% to 26.2% | +/- 3.8% |
| HR/9 | 1.62 | 1.02 to 2.12 | +/- 0.55 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.318 | 0.283 to 0.337 | +/- 0.027 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.5% | 6.8% to 12.1% | +/- 2.6% |
| ERA | 4.07 | 2.76 to 5.20 | +/- 1.22 |
| FIP | 4.30 | 3.37 to 5.24 | +/- 0.93 |
| WHIP | 1.301 | 1.081 to 1.494 | +/- 0.206 |
| xwOBA | 0.265 |
| K% | 21.8% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |
| xwOBA | 0.292 |
| K% | 19.8% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 9.3% |
