Solesky, Chase
Run-prevention profile built on workable command
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.81 |
| ERA current pace | 6.00 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.96 |
| Observed weight | 7% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2025 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SI | 37.9% | 22 | 94 | limited sample |
| SL | 25.9% | 15 | 108 | limited sample |
| FC | 15.5% | 9 | 107 | limited sample |
| CH | 10.3% | 6 | 96 | limited sample |
| FB | 10.3% | 6 | 93 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 30.2 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 126 | -- | -- |
| K% | 18.9% | 4.2% to 24.7% | +/- 10.3% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 2.7% to 13.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| Whiff% | 22.0% | 4.5% to 28.2% | +/- 11.9% |
| HR/9 | 1.44 | 0.00 to 1.67 | +/- 0.83 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.286 | 0.004 to 0.305 | +/- 0.150 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 7.6% | 0.1% to 8.7% | +/- 4.3% |
| ERA | 4.58 | 0.19 to 5.56 | +/- 2.69 |
| FIP | 4.32 | 1.46 to 5.53 | +/- 2.04 |
| WHIP | 1.257 | 0.317 to 1.510 | +/- 0.596 |
5 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.003 |
| K% | 4.7% |
| BB% | 4.8% |
| Barrel | 0.1% |
7 career BF
| xwOBA | 0.003 |
| K% | 4.9% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 0.1% |