The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Henderson, Gunnar in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 454 PA
Ranked comps for Henderson, Gunnar
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 408 PA | 0.75 | Pull rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.74 | Whiff rateIsolated powerOppo rate | Chase rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 372 PA | 0.74 | Max exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Bat speed -1.6zStrikeout rate -0.8zHard-hit rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Davis, Henry PIT · R · 203 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 217 PA | 0.72 | Fly-ball rateSwing lengthOppo rate | Strikeout rate -1.0zBarrel rate -0.9zAvg exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateWalk rateSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Whiff rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.3zSprint speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 341 PA | 0.68 | Ground-ball rateChase ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.68 | Walk rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate +1.1zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate | In-zone contact -1.6zWhiff rate +1.3zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.