Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / SEA · 2026

Young, Cole

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.306 xwOBA
Range
0.249 to 0.351
Live Δ
yes
Team SEA Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 23 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
58
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
55
Defense4 metrics
62
Speed3 metrics
29
Plate skills10 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.297
xwOBA current pace0.330
xwOBA rolling p500.318
Observed weight65%
xwOBA
0.292 0.305 0.318 0.332 0.345
wOBA
0.309 0.323 0.339 0.355 0.369
ISO
0.123 0.138 0.154 0.171 0.186
K%
16.0% 17.2% 18.6% 20.0% 21.3%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
36
Exit velocity88.8
58
Hard-hit%39.7%
52 +26 vs proj
xBA0.345
74
xSLG0.521
54
xwOBA0.330
71 +23 vs proj
BB%6.4%
23 -42 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%18.1%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · 2B
92
Arm Strength82.4 · 2B
18
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 2B
77
Range Runs1.1 · 2B
61
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 2B
21
SB Success Rate40.0% · 2B
1
Sprint Speed27.9 · 2B
65
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.4% · rebadged research
54
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
51
Correct Decisions66.8% · rebadged research
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.246 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
27
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Young, Cole · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.330 2026-07-05: 0.3352026-07-06: 0.3352026-07-07: 0.3322026-07-08: 0.3322026-07-09: 0.3332026-07-10: 0.3332026-07-11: 0.3322026-07-12: 0.3312026-07-13: 0.3302026-07-14: 0.3302026-07-15: 0.3302026-07-16: 0.330 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

194 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Young, Cole · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsOppo 22% LF 331 CF 401 RF 326 2026-03-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA -6.02026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -16.02026-03-17 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 71.2 / LA 22.02026-03-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA -8.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 54.02026-03-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 29.02026-03-20 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 21.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 33.02026-03-20 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 34.02026-03-21 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 2.02026-03-21 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 40.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -9.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 28.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 18.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 53.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 28.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 45.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA -45.02026-03-28 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 7.02026-03-29 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 23.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.9 / LA 65.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -1.02026-03-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 68.9 / LA 27.02026-03-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 111.3 / LA 10.02026-03-30 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 17.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 37.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 2.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.3 / LA -44.02026-03-31 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -3.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -26.02026-04-01 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 12.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 35.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -5.02026-04-03 · triple · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 28.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · popup · EV 64.4 / LA 53.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -40.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · popup · EV 62.3 / LA 70.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 28.02026-04-05 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 28.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 60.8 / LA 34.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.1 / LA 79.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -2.02026-04-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.1 / LA 17.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.4 / LA 74.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 43.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -41.02026-04-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 74.7 / LA 18.02026-04-10 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 3.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -20.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 39.02026-04-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 60.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.0 / LA 74.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA -22.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 21.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA 5.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 21.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 12.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 36.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · popup · EV 73.9 / LA 58.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.1 / LA 74.02026-04-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 15.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA -31.02026-04-16 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 37.02026-04-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 14.02026-04-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.2 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA -1.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 6.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -6.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 31.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA -3.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -20.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 59.7 / LA 75.02026-04-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 13.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 51.02026-04-21 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -7.02026-04-21 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 3.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 15.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 16.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 50.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.0 / LA 82.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 2.02026-04-24 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -16.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.9 / LA 7.02026-04-25 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 109.9 / LA 26.02026-04-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 22.02026-04-26 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 67.0 / LA 26.02026-04-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.2 / LA 11.02026-04-27 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 10.02026-04-27 · sac fly · SL · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 60.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.9 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 15.02026-04-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 4.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 28.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 29.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 53.02026-04-29 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 24.02026-04-29 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA -15.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -17.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -2.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 63.3 / LA 22.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 47.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 43.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 80.02026-05-02 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 5.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 48.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.1 / LA -14.02026-05-06 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 5.02026-05-06 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 16.02026-05-06 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 15.02026-05-09 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.1 / LA -42.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -24.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.2 / LA 49.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 43.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -59.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -4.02026-05-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 1.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.5 / LA 82.02026-05-11 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 0.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -3.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -26.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 27.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -3.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 29.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · popup · EV 71.0 / LA 62.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.7 / LA 55.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA -15.02026-05-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 12.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -43.02026-05-15 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 18.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.7 / LA 65.02026-05-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 10.02026-05-16 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.9 / LA 16.02026-05-16 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 51.3 / LA -52.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 16.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.3 / LA 69.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -4.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 55.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 28.02026-05-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 55.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -13.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 25.02026-05-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -7.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 27.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 85.9 / LA 8.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.4 / LA -50.02026-05-23 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 2.02026-05-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 11.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.8 / LA 42.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 8.02026-05-24 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 12.02026-05-25 · field out · FC · popup · EV 71.2 / LA 65.02026-05-25 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -14.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · popup · EV 82.4 / LA 58.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.1 / LA 40.02026-05-26 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 28.02026-05-26 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -18.02026-05-27 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 4.02026-05-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 15.02026-05-27 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 1.02026-05-31 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 25.02026-05-31 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 44.1 / LA -74.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 28.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -58.02026-06-01 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 70.5 / LA 23.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 86.4 / LA 19.02026-06-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 65.3 / LA 26.02026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 70.2 / LA 19.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 68.5 / LA 41.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 31.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -2.02026-06-07 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -3.02026-06-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 34.02026-06-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 8.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.1 / LA 72.02026-06-18 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -11.02026-06-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 19.02026-06-18 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 35.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.4 / LA 53.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 34.02026-06-24 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 38.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 7.02026-06-24 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.5 / LA 20.02026-06-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 69.6 / LA -44.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 33.02026-06-30 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 12.02026-06-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -40.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Young, Cole · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 72.1 mph Hard swing rate 26% Whiff / swing 25% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Young, Cole · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ+0.024
wOBA Δ+0.033
Sample408 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances330----
Home Runs8----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3060.249 to 0.351+/- 0.051
ISO0.1410.051 to 0.207+/- 0.078
Barrel%4.0%1.8% to 6.5%+/- 2.3%
Hard-Hit%33.7%24.6% to 42.8%+/- 9.1%
K%20.3%14.8% to 26.9%+/- 6.1%
BB%9.8%5.0% to 12.6%+/- 3.8%
BABIP0.2790.215 to 0.341+/- 0.063
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

68 career PA

xwOBA0.153
K%10.7%
BB%5.6%
Barrel2.1%
vs RHP

195 career PA

xwOBA0.164
K%9.4%
BB%6.6%
Barrel2.6%