The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vierling, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats R · 281 PA
Ranked comps for Vierling, Matt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.75 | Fly-ball rateBat speedIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.3zPull rate +1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | xwOBA on contact +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 391 PA | 0.72 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Oppo rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateIsolated power | Pull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateSwing length | Pull rate +1.5zIn-zone contact -1.4zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 304 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Bat speed -1.1zSwing length -1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA | 0.66 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateSwing length | Pull rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 248 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Sprint speed -1.7zSwing length -1.4zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 436 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateBat speedPull rate | Whiff rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 438 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedPull rateSwing length | Strikeout rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 397 PA | 0.61 | Pull rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 397 PA | 0.60 | Chase rateFly-ball rateWalk rate | Pull rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.