Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment
Protected takes / Chase risk
McCarthy, Jake
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Jake Mccarthy's tools (83) outpace production (84) by -1 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
165 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.096 |
| Sample | 331 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 373 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.314 | 0.285 to 0.364 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.142 | 0.103 to 0.238 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 1.5% to 5.2% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 25.0% | 20.4% to 34.8% | +/- 7.2% |
| K% | 17.1% | 14.7% to 26.2% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 4.3% to 9.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.252 to 0.365 | +/- 0.057 |
415 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 14.5% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
1137 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.242 |
| K% | 13.6% |
| BB% | 5.0% |
| Barrel | 2.5% |