The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.
NYM · bats L · 486 PA
Ranked comps for Soto, Juan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.54 | Pull rateOppo rateChase rate | xwOBA on contact -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA | 0.50 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.50 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.8zSwing length +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Walk rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 726 PA | 0.48 | Pull rateChase rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.7zSwing length +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA | 0.47 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateMax exit velocity | Walk rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.47 | Bat speedSwing lengthGround-ball rate | Walk rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.46 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +2.2zBarrel rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 593 PA | 0.44 | Walk rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate +2.2zOppo rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA | 0.43 | Barrel rateMax exit velocitySwing length | Strikeout rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.42 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed | Strikeout rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.7zOppo rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 715 PA | 0.40 | Barrel rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -2.6zStrikeout rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.