The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pages, Andy in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats R · 588 PA

Ranked comps for Pages, Andy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA 0.73 Barrel rateHard-hit rateChase rate Swing length -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate +1.1z
02 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.0zPull rate +0.9z
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 476 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateWalk rateBat speed Isolated power -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2zPull rate +1.1z
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.66 Whiff rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.1zSwing length -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z
05 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 604 PA 0.65 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate Swing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.0z
06 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zPull rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z
07 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 437 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -2.0zMax exit velocity +1.1zChase rate -0.8z
08 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.63 Barrel rateWhiff rateBat speed xwOBA on contact -1.3zOppo rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
09 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.62 Barrel rateStrikeout rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z
10 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.61 Barrel rateIsolated powerSprint speed Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0z
11 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.61 Pull rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
12 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA 0.61 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Swing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.3zChase rate -1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.