The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Church, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 483 PA

Ranked comps for Church, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 516 PA 0.79 Isolated powerFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate +0.9zWalk rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA 0.77 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.67 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Chase rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 McCarthy, Jake COL · L · 616 PA 0.66 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.3zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityGround-ball ratePull rate Chase rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed Chase rate -2.4zAvg exit velocity +0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 606 PA 0.62 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.5zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 494 PA 0.61 Oppo rateWalk rateSprint speed Strikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Avg exit velocity +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 634 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +1.6zSprint speed -1.3zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerIn-zone contact Chase rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 440 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Chase rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.