The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Durbin, Caleb in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 607 PA

Ranked comps for Durbin, Caleb

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 400 PA 0.72 Barrel rateBat speedWalk rate In-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 405 PA 0.68 Bat speedIsolated powerFly-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.3zWalk rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA 0.67 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactChase rate Swing length +1.3zOppo rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 440 PA 0.65 Chase rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.4zPull rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 339 PA 0.63 In-zone contactBat speedBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 567 PA 0.63 Bat speedSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 375 PA 0.62 In-zone contactBarrel rateBat speed Swing length +1.3zIsolated power -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.3zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Avg exit velocity +1.9zHard-hit rate +1.1zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Fermín, José STL · R · 385 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Avg exit velocity +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 667 PA 0.60 Chase rateGround-ball ratePull rate Avg exit velocity +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 583 PA 0.56 Bat speedSprint speedGround-ball rate Swing length +1.5zChase rate +1.5zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.