The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hicks, Liam in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 561 PA
Ranked comps for Hicks, Liam
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 462 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactChase rateBat speed | In-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Fermín, José STL · R · 384 PA | 0.67 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rumfield, TJ COL · L · 656 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zWhiff rate +0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Perdomo, Geraldo AZ · L · 686 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA | 0.60 | Sprint speedSwing lengthChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.1zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 400 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateBat speedOppo rate | In-zone contact -2.1zWhiff rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.56 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5zWhiff rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zSprint speed +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 400 PA | 0.54 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.3zGround-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 708 PA | 0.53 | Walk rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Avg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 647 PA | 0.51 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactPull rate | Walk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.