Mithrandir Metrics
Player Miami Marlins Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Miami Marlins

Liam Hicks

C · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 27

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Miami Marlins Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025390378262.247.346.346.692
20263425086132.290.364.458.822
2 Seasons73287168194.267.354.399.753
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
22
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
34
Defense6 metrics
60
Speed2 metrics
7
Plate skills10 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.8%
20
Exit velocity84.9
17
Hard-hit%30.3%
15
xBA0.280
13
xSLG0.393
11
xwOBA0.310
54
BB%9.5%
61
Bat speed66.5
15
K%8.6%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.0 · C
47
Catcher Throwing0.1 · C
55
Framing Runs-1.6 · C
28
Outs Above Avg2.0 · C
100
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Range Runs1.2 · C
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-5.0 · C
0
Sprint Speed25.8 · C
14
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions69.6% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.320 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.304 · validated thin sample
9
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
48
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
88
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Hicks, Liam · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.310 2026-07-05: 0.3132026-07-06: 0.3132026-07-07: 0.3112026-07-08: 0.3112026-07-09: 0.3112026-07-10: 0.3112026-07-11: 0.3092026-07-12: 0.3082026-07-13: 0.3102026-07-14: 0.3102026-07-15: 0.3102026-07-16: 0.310 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

203 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Hicks, Liam · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 20% of plotted batted ballsOppo 20% LF 344 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 33.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 31.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.8 / LA 41.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 71.6 / LA 52.02026-03-16 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 87.6 / LA 15.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 54.6 / LA 67.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.3 / LA 71.02026-03-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -38.02026-03-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 22.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · popup · EV 68.8 / LA 73.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.7 / LA -2.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -13.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 57.0 / LA -48.02026-03-28 · double play · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 43.02026-03-28 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-03-28 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 36.02026-03-29 · double play · CH · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 8.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -29.02026-03-30 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 22.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 9.02026-03-30 · single · SV · fly_ball · EV 70.7 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -35.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 13.02026-03-31 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 1.02026-04-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 68.8 / LA 30.02026-04-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 40.02026-04-01 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 10.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 29.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 34.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 7.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.0 / LA -63.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 43.02026-04-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 6.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · popup · EV 74.0 / LA 61.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 37.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 22.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 32.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 34.02026-04-08 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -18.02026-04-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 64.7 / LA 24.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -42.02026-04-09 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -17.02026-04-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 15.02026-04-09 · fielders choice out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -13.02026-04-09 · double play · FF · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 9.02026-04-10 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -3.02026-04-10 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 34.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 4.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA -2.02026-04-11 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -10.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -45.02026-04-11 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 10.02026-04-12 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -23.02026-04-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -15.02026-04-13 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 19.02026-04-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 5.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 1.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 8.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -4.02026-04-14 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 1.02026-04-15 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 25.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 40.02026-04-15 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 2.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 50.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 79.1 / LA 71.02026-04-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 2.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 34.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 73.9 / LA 36.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -10.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 72.0 / LA 21.02026-04-19 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 11.02026-04-19 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 13.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 70.9 / LA 79.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 65.4 / LA 18.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 51.1 / LA -4.02026-04-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 4.02026-04-20 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 18.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.0 / LA 81.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -42.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -11.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 33.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 18.02026-04-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 1.02026-04-24 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 34.02026-04-24 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 89.4 / LA 23.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 20.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 24.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -1.02026-04-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.2 / LA 11.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 1.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 36.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA -15.02026-04-27 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 23.02026-04-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 34.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · LA -63.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA 3.02026-05-01 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.3 / LA -14.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 0.02026-05-02 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 37.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -25.02026-05-04 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -37.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.8 / LA 51.02026-05-05 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 11.02026-05-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 6.02026-05-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.5 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 5.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 40.02026-05-06 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 22.02026-05-06 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 47.6 / LA 16.02026-05-07 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 28.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.2 / LA 54.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -21.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 42.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 56.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 33.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 41.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 54.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 62.5 / LA 44.02026-05-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 8.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 23.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 42.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -5.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA -17.02026-05-13 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 6.02026-05-13 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -4.02026-05-13 · fielders choice · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -10.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · popup · EV 84.8 / LA 61.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 39.02026-05-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 18.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 31.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA -5.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 37.02026-05-15 · field out · FS · popup · EV 73.4 / LA 68.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 38.02026-05-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 1.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · popup · EV 65.3 / LA 79.02026-05-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 0.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -13.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 81.8 / LA 52.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -13.02026-05-17 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 7.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.9 / LA -37.02026-05-18 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 92.2 / LA 17.02026-05-18 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 2.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 32.02026-05-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 14.02026-05-20 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 58.0 / LA 21.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 56.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 48.5 / LA -59.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 32.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -8.02026-05-22 · field out · ST · popup · EV 65.3 / LA 76.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 45.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 40.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.4 / LA 76.02026-05-23 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 31.02026-05-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 35.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · popup · EV 68.0 / LA 55.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -5.02026-05-24 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 4.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -3.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA 1.02026-05-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 2.02026-05-25 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 53.0 / LA -66.02026-05-26 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.2 / LA -15.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -27.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA 0.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 61.02026-05-27 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -16.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 61.5 / LA 53.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 59.6 / LA 17.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -18.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -37.02026-06-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 33.02026-06-01 · field out · ST · popup · EV 64.1 / LA 46.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -10.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · popup · EV 49.8 / LA 67.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -28.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 11.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -2.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -2.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.4 / LA 76.02026-06-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -10.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 49.1 / LA -1.02026-06-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 4.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -8.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 9.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 78.7 / LA 58.02026-06-30 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 4.02026-06-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -16.02026-06-30 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -11.02026-06-30 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 1.02026-07-01 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -6.02026-07-01 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.7 / LA 13.02026-07-01 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 27.02026-07-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -5.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Hicks, Liam · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 10%10%Zone contact: 97%97%Contact: 90%90%Hard hit: 30%30% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Hicks, Liam · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 68.1 mph Hard swing rate 1% Whiff / swing 5% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height5' 9"
Weight185 lb
Debut2025-03-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.381
xwOBA (deserved)0.310

Hicks’s wOBA sits at 0.381, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.310 — a gap of 0.070, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 359 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Durbin, Caleb BOS · R 0.66 Bat speedHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Frelick, Sal MIL · L 0.61 Avg exit velocityWhiff rate Player · Projection
Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L 0.60 Max exit velocityIsolated power Player · Projection
Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L 0.59 Oppo rateWalk rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-05Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2 RBI
2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-5 | 2B
2026-04-15 @ ATL1 HR | 2 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-14 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K