Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2025-03-28 |
Player profile / Tampa Bay Rays
Liam Hicks
C · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 27
Club Tampa Bay Rays
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 390 | 37 | 82 | 6 | 2 | .247 | .346 | .346 | .692 |
| 2026 | 544 | 65 | 132 | 18 | 3 | .281 | .366 | .431 | .797 |
| 2 Seasons | 934 | 102 | 214 | 24 | 5 | .267 | .358 | .396 | .754 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
25
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.328 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.319 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.322 |
| Observed weight | 72% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.312
0.322
0.332
0.341
wOBA
0.342
0.354
0.368
0.381
0.394
ISO
0.128
0.137
0.147
0.157
0.167
K%
10.2%
11.0%
12.0%
12.9%
13.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
22
Exit velocity84.2
13
Hard-hit%27.0%
10
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.404
13
xwOBA0.319
68
BB%10.2%
70
Bat speed66.3
14
K%10.0%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.1 · C
20
Catcher Throwing1.7 · C
78
Framing Runs1.1 · C
66
Outs Above Avg2.0 · C
100
Pop Time2.0 · C
28
Range Runs1.2 · C
100
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-5.2 · C
1
Sprint Speed25.7 · C
12
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
59
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
285 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hicks’s wOBA sits at 0.368, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.048, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 561 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Fermín, José STL · R | 0.67 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Durbin, Caleb BOS · R | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Rumfield, TJ COL · L | 0.62 | Bat speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-07-22 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 12 | 2026-09-22 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.235 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.319 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATL1 HR | 2 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI |