The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Grisham, Trent in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 321 PA

Ranked comps for Grisham, Trent

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 329 PA 0.68 Whiff rateBat speedSwing length Chase rate +2.1zGround-ball rate -1.0zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 421 PA 0.67 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 290 PA 0.66 Isolated powerGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityPull rateOppo rate Chase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 435 PA 0.62 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Hard-hit rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Isolated power +1.5zChase rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 353 PA 0.61 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.5zBat speed +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.59 Swing lengthPull rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.59 Swing lengthFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Soto, Juan NYM · L · 343 PA 0.58 Pull rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Isolated power +1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.4zBarrel rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.58 Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.