The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pages, Andy in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats R · 432 PA
Ranked comps for Pages, Andy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateIsolated power | Pull rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Vierling, Matt DET · R · 281 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | xwOBA on contact -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA | 0.71 | Bat speedWalk rateStrikeout rate | Oppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA | 0.70 | Sprint speedOppo rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.70 | In-zone contactWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.2zSwing length -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate +2.3zIn-zone contact -0.8zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.2zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 341 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Pull rate +1.8zGround-ball rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA | 0.64 | Whiff rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 381 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedSwing lengthWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.3zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactChase rate | Barrel rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA | 0.62 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.