Mithrandir Metrics
SF National League West Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

San Francisco Giants

82.0-80.0 with P10-P90 wins 72-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.0-80.0
Live pace
69.2
Delta
-12.8
Record 41-55 Run diff -64 Generated 2026-07-16T11:44:44.237747+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace69.2
Rolling p5074.1
Observed weight62%
Rolling wins
64.8 69.2 74.1 79.0 83.5
MOVE -7.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.29
October path

Projection odds

Division11.6%
Playoffs36.4%
Pennant4.0%
World Series1.8%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.263
Rotation FIP4.22
Bullpen FIP4.29
Run diff9.7
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHaase, Eric253-1.11
1BDevers, Rafael63610.09
2BArraez, Luis6241.26
SSAdames, Willy6274.99
LFRamos, Heliot6123.52
CFGilbert, Drew255-0.02
RFLee, Jung Hoo5301.65
DHSchmitt, Casey3890.04